Current forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies positions a daily high near 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. Historical baselines show average highs around 29–30°C this time of year, with recent runs indicating minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to push extremes. Trader positioning aligns closely with these stable projections, though slight upward revisions in some guidance sustain modest probabilities for 33°C while capping odds for values outside the 30–33°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 4 septembre ?
32°C 70%
33°C 14%
31°C 11%
34°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
70%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
1%
32°C 70%
33°C 14%
31°C 11%
34°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$20 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$80 Vol.
70%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C
$0 Vol.
5%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies positions a daily high near 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. Historical baselines show average highs around 29–30°C this time of year, with recent runs indicating minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to push extremes. Trader positioning aligns closely with these stable projections, though slight upward revisions in some guidance sustain modest probabilities for 33°C while capping odds for values outside the 30–33°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$100Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies positions a daily high near 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. Historical baselines show average highs around 29–30°C this time of year, with recent runs indicating minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to push extremes. Trader positioning aligns closely with these stable projections, though slight upward revisions in some guidance sustain modest probabilities for 33°C while capping odds for values outside the 30–33°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models and agencies positions a daily high near 32°C as the most probable outcome for Tel Aviv on September 4, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of early September Mediterranean conditions. Historical baselines show average highs around 29–30°C this time of year, with recent runs indicating minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming fronts or heat advection expected to push extremes. Trader positioning aligns closely with these stable projections, though slight upward revisions in some guidance sustain modest probabilities for 33°C while capping odds for values outside the 30–33°C range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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