**Stable late-summer conditions and model consensus around a 25–26 °C overnight minimum are anchoring trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3.** Coastal Mediterranean dynamics—persistent high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and high humidity near the sea—limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared with inland areas. Multiple authoritative forecasts (Met Office, NOAA-linked guidance, and regional models) converge on a daytime high near 31–33 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. The narrow spread between the 26 °C (38.5 %) and 31 °C-or-higher (36.0 %) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum readings: small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C at the official station. Historical September baselines (average lows near 24–25 °C) and the absence of any incoming trough or sea-breeze shift reinforce the current clustering, while the low probability on 21 °C or below underscores the unlikelihood of atypical cooling under these synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and any last-minute observational shifts will be the next key data points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Tel Aviv le 3 septembre ?
31°C or higher 90%
26°C 52%
25°C 45%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
40%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
90%
31°C or higher 90%
26°C 52%
25°C 45%
24°C 27%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
40%
27°C
26%
28°C
5%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Stable late-summer conditions and model consensus around a 25–26 °C overnight minimum are anchoring trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 3.** Coastal Mediterranean dynamics—persistent high pressure, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and high humidity near the sea—limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows elevated compared with inland areas. Multiple authoritative forecasts (Met Office, NOAA-linked guidance, and regional models) converge on a daytime high near 31–33 °C and an overnight low of 25–26 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation. The narrow spread between the 26 °C (38.5 %) and 31 °C-or-higher (36.0 %) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact minimum readings: small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C at the official station. Historical September baselines (average lows near 24–25 °C) and the absence of any incoming trough or sea-breeze shift reinforce the current clustering, while the low probability on 21 °C or below underscores the unlikelihood of atypical cooling under these synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and any last-minute observational shifts will be the next key data points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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