**Current official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on August 5, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with early-August climatology (normal high near 27°C) and recent model guidance showing moderating conditions after any morning clearing. The market’s concentration on 28–30°C outcomes (collectively over 90% implied probability) reflects trader focus on the upper end of guidance and typical urban heat-island effects at the airport station, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ capture limited upside if clearing strengthens daytime heating. Key variables include afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C; updated NHC/NOAA or Canadian model runs through the afternoon will be the primary near-term drivers of any probability shifts before the official observation is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Toronto le 5 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Toronto le 5 août ?
29°C 45%
30°C 25%
28°C 24%
27°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$13,809 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,809 Vol.
5 août 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
24%
29°C
45%
30°C
25%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 45%
30°C 25%
28°C 24%
27°C 5%
NOUVEAU
$13,809 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,809 Vol.
5 août 2026
23°C or below
$455 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$856 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,759 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,714 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$585 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,432 Vol.
24%
29°C
$2,827 Vol.
45%
30°C
$955 Vol.
25%
31°C
$742 Vol.
3%
32°C
$738 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$745 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on August 5, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with early-August climatology (normal high near 27°C) and recent model guidance showing moderating conditions after any morning clearing.
The market’s concentration on 28–30°C outcomes (collectively over 90% implied probability) reflects trader focus on the upper end of guidance and typical urban heat-island effects at the airport station, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ capture limited upside if clearing strengthens daytime heating. Key variables include afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C; updated NHC/NOAA or Canadian model runs through the afternoon will be the primary near-term drivers of any probability shifts before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$13,809Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on August 5, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with early-August climatology (normal high near 27°C) and recent model guidance showing moderating conditions after any morning clearing.
The market’s concentration on 28–30°C outcomes (collectively over 90% implied probability) reflects trader focus on the upper end of guidance and typical urban heat-island effects at the airport station, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ capture limited upside if clearing strengthens daytime heating. Key variables include afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C; updated NHC/NOAA or Canadian model runs through the afternoon will be the primary near-term drivers of any probability shifts before the official observation is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,809Date de fin
5 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current official forecasts from Environment Canada point to a daily maximum of 26–28°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on August 5, 2026, under a mix of sun and cloud with a 30% chance of showers.** This aligns closely with early-August climatology (normal high near 27°C) and recent model guidance showing moderating conditions after any morning clearing. The market’s concentration on 28–30°C outcomes (collectively over 90% implied probability) reflects trader focus on the upper end of guidance and typical urban heat-island effects at the airport station, while lower probabilities for 31°C+ capture limited upside if clearing strengthens daytime heating. Key variables include afternoon convective development or wind shifts that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2°C; updated NHC/NOAA or Canadian model runs through the afternoon will be the primary near-term drivers of any probability shifts before the official observation is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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