Trader consensus on Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei's X account (@khamenei_ir) posting volume for April 7–14 remains tightly contested across low-to-moderate bins, reflecting uncertainty following Ali Khamenei's death in early March amid U.S.-Israel strikes and the abrupt leadership transition. Recent Iranian official statements on April 1 affirmed Mojtaba's good health, countering persistent injury rumors from March attacks, while the account issued a video post taunting U.S. persistence on April 1—its latest activity amid sparse prior weeks averaging 1–3 posts. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including potential escalations or diplomatic signals, could drive bursts in statements, keeping higher bins viable; absent major catalysts like retaliation announcements or public appearances, low-volume outcomes hold a slim edge per historical office patterns.