Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 30 centering on 16–17°C, with persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limiting overnight radiative cooling. Mild Atlantic air advection and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above historical August lows near 12.5°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18°C reflects genuine ensemble spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus while noting sensitivity to any clearing skies that could allow modest additional cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 30 août ?
17°C 32%
18°C 32%
16°C 28%
13°C or below 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
13°C or below
15%
14°C
8%
15°C
10%
16°C
28%
17°C
32%
18°C
32%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
11%
17°C 32%
18°C 32%
16°C 28%
13°C or below 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
15%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
32%
18°C
$0 Vol.
32%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$20 Vol.
3%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 30 centering on 16–17°C, with persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limiting overnight radiative cooling. Mild Atlantic air advection and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above historical August lows near 12.5°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18°C reflects genuine ensemble spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus while noting sensitivity to any clearing skies that could allow modest additional cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$50Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 30 centering on 16–17°C, with persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limiting overnight radiative cooling. Mild Atlantic air advection and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above historical August lows near 12.5°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18°C reflects genuine ensemble spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus while noting sensitivity to any clearing skies that could allow modest additional cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and European models show Amsterdam's minimum temperature on August 30 centering on 16–17°C, with persistent cloud cover, light-to-moderate southwesterly winds, and scattered showers limiting overnight radiative cooling. Mild Atlantic air advection and high humidity further suppress temperature drops, keeping values above historical August lows near 12.5°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 16–18°C reflects genuine ensemble spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing, with traders weighting the most recent model consensus while noting sensitivity to any clearing skies that could allow modest additional cooling.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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