Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European guidance point to a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 14–16 °C, shaped by an active low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms. Persistent stratus and convective activity limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southwesterly winds near 15–20 km/h enhance mixing and prevent sharp drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 12–13 °C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden pattern raises the floor. Traders weigh model spread on exact overnight clearing against the strong signal for continued overcast skies through the minimum window, producing closely matched probabilities across the mid-teens and the tail risk of sub-12 °C readings if breaks in cloud allow greater heat loss.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Amsterdam le 31 août ?
11°C or below 58%
21°C or higher 49%
13°C 48%
17°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
11°C or below
58%
12°C
47%
13°C
48%
14°C
26%
15°C
28%
16°C
28%
17°C
48%
18°C
48%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
49%
11°C or below 58%
21°C or higher 49%
13°C 48%
17°C 48%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
58%
12°C
$0 Vol.
47%
13°C
$0 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
28%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
48%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European guidance point to a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 14–16 °C, shaped by an active low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms. Persistent stratus and convective activity limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southwesterly winds near 15–20 km/h enhance mixing and prevent sharp drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 12–13 °C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden pattern raises the floor. Traders weigh model spread on exact overnight clearing against the strong signal for continued overcast skies through the minimum window, producing closely matched probabilities across the mid-teens and the tail risk of sub-12 °C readings if breaks in cloud allow greater heat loss.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European guidance point to a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 14–16 °C, shaped by an active low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms. Persistent stratus and convective activity limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southwesterly winds near 15–20 km/h enhance mixing and prevent sharp drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 12–13 °C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden pattern raises the floor. Traders weigh model spread on exact overnight clearing against the strong signal for continued overcast skies through the minimum window, producing closely matched probabilities across the mid-teens and the tail risk of sub-12 °C readings if breaks in cloud allow greater heat loss.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European guidance point to a daily minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 31 most likely between 14–16 °C, shaped by an active low-pressure system delivering widespread cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorms. Persistent stratus and convective activity limit nocturnal radiative cooling while southwesterly winds near 15–20 km/h enhance mixing and prevent sharp drops. Historical climatology shows typical late-August lows near 12–13 °C under clearer conditions, but the current moisture-laden pattern raises the floor. Traders weigh model spread on exact overnight clearing against the strong signal for continued overcast skies through the minimum window, producing closely matched probabilities across the mid-teens and the tail risk of sub-12 °C readings if breaks in cloud allow greater heat loss.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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