**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Ankara le 12 septembre ?
12°C ou moins 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,471 Vol.
$1,471 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
Oui
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C ou plus
Non
12°C ou moins 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$1,471 Vol.
$1,471 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$45 Vol.
Oui
13°C
$45 Vol.
Non
14°C
$126 Vol.
Non
15°C
$442 Vol.
Non
16°C
$523 Vol.
Non
17°C
$185 Vol.
Non
18°C
$15 Vol.
Non
19°C
$15 Vol.
Non
20°C
$15 Vol.
Non
21°C
$45 Vol.
Non
22°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,471Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,471Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
**Trader consensus at 100% on 12°C or below for Ankara's September 12 low reflects official observations confirming the minimum has already reached or dropped below that threshold.** Clear skies and light winds promoted strong nighttime radiative cooling after a daytime high near 30–32°C, consistent with mid-September climatology for the Anatolian plateau. Model guidance had projected overnight lows around 14–16°C, yet actual station data showed further cooling to the 12°C mark or lower. With the calendar day concluding and no additional data releases expected, market-implied odds align directly with verified meteorological records rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges remain limited to potential measurement revisions or station-specific anomalies, though these are improbable given multiple confirming sources.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes