Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Ankara le 4 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Ankara le 4 septembre ?
12°C 96%
13°C 96%
14°C 96%
17°C 87%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
69%
12°C
96%
13°C
96%
14°C
96%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
87%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
13%
21°C ou plus
58%
12°C 96%
13°C 96%
14°C 96%
17°C 87%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
69%
12°C
$0 Vol.
96%
13°C
$0 Vol.
96%
14°C
$0 Vol.
96%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
87%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
14%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
4 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF indicate overnight lows of 15–16°C in Ankara on September 4 under clear skies and light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, driving the near-even 50% market-implied odds for those exact minima. Radiative cooling will be efficient given dew points near 5–10°C and minimal cloud cover, with the daily minimum typically occurring around 06:00 local time; slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing or urban heat effects around Esenboğa Airport versus the city center explain the tight spread versus lower-probability outcomes like 14°C or below. Historical September climatology (average lows near 14–15°C) provides context but is secondary to the fresh forecast guidance, with the next model cycle offering the primary near-term update for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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