Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Beijing on September 20, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast to southwest winds under 3 m/s, and gradual overnight cooling from daytime highs near 26–28°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and a recent cooling trend following earlier warmth, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. Numerical weather prediction consensus across sources supports the elevated market-implied odds for 18°C and nearby outcomes, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect limited forecast uncertainty in the short term ahead of overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 20 septembre ?
16°C ou moins 100%
17°C 93%
19°C 45%
20°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
100%
17°C
93%
18°C
68%
19°C
45%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou plus
<1%
16°C ou moins 100%
17°C 93%
19°C 45%
20°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
100%
17°C
$0 Vol.
93%
18°C
$23 Vol.
68%
19°C
$2 Vol.
45%
20°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$337 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou plus
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Beijing on September 20, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast to southwest winds under 3 m/s, and gradual overnight cooling from daytime highs near 26–28°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and a recent cooling trend following earlier warmth, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. Numerical weather prediction consensus across sources supports the elevated market-implied odds for 18°C and nearby outcomes, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect limited forecast uncertainty in the short term ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,861Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Beijing on September 20, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast to southwest winds under 3 m/s, and gradual overnight cooling from daytime highs near 26–28°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and a recent cooling trend following earlier warmth, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. Numerical weather prediction consensus across sources supports the elevated market-implied odds for 18°C and nearby outcomes, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect limited forecast uncertainty in the short term ahead of overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,861Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 18–19°C for Beijing on September 20, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeast to southwest winds under 3 m/s, and gradual overnight cooling from daytime highs near 26–28°C. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and a recent cooling trend following earlier warmth, with no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected to alter the pattern. Numerical weather prediction consensus across sources supports the elevated market-implied odds for 18°C and nearby outcomes, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect limited forecast uncertainty in the short term ahead of overnight observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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