Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. Trader balance at 50% each for 8°C or below versus exactly 9°C reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under these stable conditions, with historical September minima occasionally dipping sharply when high pressure strengthens. Upcoming hourly observations from official stations will clarify whether the low settles at or below 9°C, a threshold that separates the two dominant outcomes amid otherwise mild spring air masses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 18 septembre ?
9°C 100%
8°C ou moins 90%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C ou moins
90%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
9°C 100%
8°C ou moins 90%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
8°C ou moins
90%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from regional forecasts points to a minimum temperature near 13–15°C for Buenos Aires on September 18, driven by persistent northeasterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiational cooling overnight. Trader balance at 50% each for 8°C or below versus exactly 9°C reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression under these stable conditions, with historical September minima occasionally dipping sharply when high pressure strengthens. Upcoming hourly observations from official stations will clarify whether the low settles at or below 9°C, a threshold that separates the two dominant outcomes amid otherwise mild spring air masses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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