Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds that limit nocturnal cooling through mixing. This aligns with the current high-pressure setup and dry conditions following recent mild weather, though subtle differences in wind speed or boundary-layer stability across ensembles could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C, making tonight’s values relatively mild yet still within normal variability for spring. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential model revisions or localized urban heat effects, keeping probabilities clustered around the 10–13°C outcomes while the broader 17°C+ bucket reflects residual uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 17 septembre ?
17°C ou plus 64%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
11°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
7 °C ou moins
1%
8°C
10%
9°C
20%
10°C
26%
11°C
28%
12°C
24%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
3%
16°C
14%
17°C ou plus
64%
17°C ou plus 64%
13°C 37%
14°C 37%
11°C 28%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
7 °C ou moins
$80 Vol.
1%
8°C
$41 Vol.
10%
9°C
$0 Vol.
20%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds that limit nocturnal cooling through mixing. This aligns with the current high-pressure setup and dry conditions following recent mild weather, though subtle differences in wind speed or boundary-layer stability across ensembles could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C, making tonight’s values relatively mild yet still within normal variability for spring. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential model revisions or localized urban heat effects, keeping probabilities clustered around the 10–13°C outcomes while the broader 17°C+ bucket reflects residual uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$120Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds that limit nocturnal cooling through mixing. This aligns with the current high-pressure setup and dry conditions following recent mild weather, though subtle differences in wind speed or boundary-layer stability across ensembles could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C, making tonight’s values relatively mild yet still within normal variability for spring. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential model revisions or localized urban heat effects, keeping probabilities clustered around the 10–13°C outcomes while the broader 17°C+ bucket reflects residual uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$120Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C for Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies and moderate southeasterly winds that limit nocturnal cooling through mixing. This aligns with the current high-pressure setup and dry conditions following recent mild weather, though subtle differences in wind speed or boundary-layer stability across ensembles could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 10–11°C, making tonight’s values relatively mild yet still within normal variability for spring. Traders appear to weigh these factors against potential model revisions or localized urban heat effects, keeping probabilities clustered around the 10–13°C outcomes while the broader 17°C+ bucket reflects residual uncertainty ahead of final observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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