Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on September 3 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. Recent conditions on September 2, with multi-cloud skies and temperatures around 24–30°C, set up modest nocturnal drops, though precipitation timing and humidity levels introduce divergence across ensembles. This uncertainty explains the near-even market-implied odds between 19°C or below and the 22–25°C outcomes, as small shifts in storm onset or wind patterns could push the minimum across those thresholds. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context for the current cooler signal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 3 septembre ?
19°C ou moins 84%
22°C 41%
23°C 41%
24°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
84%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
41%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C
40%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou plus
<1%
19°C ou moins 84%
22°C 41%
23°C 41%
24°C 41%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
19°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
84%
20°C
$118 Vol.
9%
21°C
$54 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
41%
23°C
$0 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$65 Vol.
40%
26°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou plus
$55 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on September 3 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. Recent conditions on September 2, with multi-cloud skies and temperatures around 24–30°C, set up modest nocturnal drops, though precipitation timing and humidity levels introduce divergence across ensembles. This uncertainty explains the near-even market-implied odds between 19°C or below and the 22–25°C outcomes, as small shifts in storm onset or wind patterns could push the minimum across those thresholds. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context for the current cooler signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$427Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on September 3 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. Recent conditions on September 2, with multi-cloud skies and temperatures around 24–30°C, set up modest nocturnal drops, though precipitation timing and humidity levels introduce divergence across ensembles. This uncertainty explains the near-even market-implied odds between 19°C or below and the 22–25°C outcomes, as small shifts in storm onset or wind patterns could push the minimum across those thresholds. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context for the current cooler signal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$427Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Guangzhou on September 3 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 20s°C amid northwest winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 29°C. Recent conditions on September 2, with multi-cloud skies and temperatures around 24–30°C, set up modest nocturnal drops, though precipitation timing and humidity levels introduce divergence across ensembles. This uncertainty explains the near-even market-implied odds between 19°C or below and the 22–25°C outcomes, as small shifts in storm onset or wind patterns could push the minimum across those thresholds. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context for the current cooler signal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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