The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 9 septembre ?
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 Vol.
$19,767 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Oui
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C ou plus
Non
27°C 100.0%
21°C ou moins <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 Vol.
$19,767 Vol.
9 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$95 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,102 Vol.
Non
23°C
$647 Vol.
Non
24°C
$332 Vol.
Non
25°C
$1,158 Vol.
Non
26°C
$3,106 Vol.
Non
27°C
$8,521 Vol.
Oui
28°C
$2,027 Vol.
Non
29°C
$2,278 Vol.
Non
30°C
$260 Vol.
Non
31°C ou plus
$241 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$19,767Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,767Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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