Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast has sustained a heat wave, with Houston recording overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s in recent days amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Official NWS guidance for the August 22–23 night calls for a minimum near 81 °F under similar conditions, consistent with the season’s 76 °F climatological average but elevated by the current pattern. Model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture that would allow significant radiational cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-72 °F readings dependent on any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind shift. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 78–82 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope, while the elevated tails capture residual uncertainty in model runs and potential micro-scale urban effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Houston le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Houston le 23 août ?
71°F ou moins 80%
90°F ou plus 80%
72-73°F 50%
86-87°F 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
71°F ou moins
80%
72-73°F
50%
74-75 °F
24%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
24%
84-85 °F
23%
86-87°F
43%
88-89 °F
40%
90°F ou plus
80%
71°F ou moins 80%
90°F ou plus 80%
72-73°F 50%
86-87°F 43%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
71°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
80%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
50%
74-75 °F
$0 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
29%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
24%
84-85 °F
$0 Vol.
23%
86-87°F
$20 Vol.
43%
88-89 °F
$10 Vol.
40%
90°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast has sustained a heat wave, with Houston recording overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s in recent days amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Official NWS guidance for the August 22–23 night calls for a minimum near 81 °F under similar conditions, consistent with the season’s 76 °F climatological average but elevated by the current pattern. Model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture that would allow significant radiational cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-72 °F readings dependent on any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind shift. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 78–82 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope, while the elevated tails capture residual uncertainty in model runs and potential micro-scale urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$85Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast has sustained a heat wave, with Houston recording overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s in recent days amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Official NWS guidance for the August 22–23 night calls for a minimum near 81 °F under similar conditions, consistent with the season’s 76 °F climatological average but elevated by the current pattern. Model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture that would allow significant radiational cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-72 °F readings dependent on any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind shift. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 78–82 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope, while the elevated tails capture residual uncertainty in model runs and potential micro-scale urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$85Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the southern Plains and Gulf Coast has sustained a heat wave, with Houston recording overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s in recent days amid mostly clear skies and light southerly winds. Official NWS guidance for the August 22–23 night calls for a minimum near 81 °F under similar conditions, consistent with the season’s 76 °F climatological average but elevated by the current pattern. Model consensus shows little change in steering flow or moisture that would allow significant radiational cooling, keeping probabilities for sub-72 °F readings dependent on any unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind shift. The closely matched market-implied odds around the 78–82 °F bins reflect this narrow forecast envelope, while the elevated tails capture residual uncertainty in model runs and potential micro-scale urban effects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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