**Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF/GFS) indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear to mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h) persisting into September 3.** These conditions favor modest nocturnal radiative cooling, producing minimum temperatures near 21–22 °C in central Istanbul districts, consistent with the cluster of market-implied probabilities around 19–24 °C. Sea-surface temperatures remain elevated for early September, limiting further cooling, while the absence of any approaching frontal system or increased cloud cover keeps the risk of sub-18 °C readings very low. The elevated probability assigned to 27 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger downslope warming, though current observations and short-range guidance favor the mid-20s range. Updated model runs overnight and early on September 3 will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 3 septembre ?
27°C or higher 87%
18°C 50%
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
17°C or below
6%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
87%
27°C or higher 87%
18°C 50%
21°C 27%
19°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
6%
18°C
$5 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
27%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF/GFS) indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear to mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h) persisting into September 3.** These conditions favor modest nocturnal radiative cooling, producing minimum temperatures near 21–22 °C in central Istanbul districts, consistent with the cluster of market-implied probabilities around 19–24 °C. Sea-surface temperatures remain elevated for early September, limiting further cooling, while the absence of any approaching frontal system or increased cloud cover keeps the risk of sub-18 °C readings very low. The elevated probability assigned to 27 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger downslope warming, though current observations and short-range guidance favor the mid-20s range. Updated model runs overnight and early on September 3 will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF/GFS) indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear to mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h) persisting into September 3.** These conditions favor modest nocturnal radiative cooling, producing minimum temperatures near 21–22 °C in central Istanbul districts, consistent with the cluster of market-implied probabilities around 19–24 °C. Sea-surface temperatures remain elevated for early September, limiting further cooling, while the absence of any approaching frontal system or increased cloud cover keeps the risk of sub-18 °C readings very low. The elevated probability assigned to 27 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger downslope warming, though current observations and short-range guidance favor the mid-20s range. Updated model runs overnight and early on September 3 will provide the next key data point for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles (ECMWF/GFS) indicate a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with clear to mostly sunny skies and light-to-moderate northeast winds (10–20 km/h) persisting into September 3.** These conditions favor modest nocturnal radiative cooling, producing minimum temperatures near 21–22 °C in central Istanbul districts, consistent with the cluster of market-implied probabilities around 19–24 °C. Sea-surface temperatures remain elevated for early September, limiting further cooling, while the absence of any approaching frontal system or increased cloud cover keeps the risk of sub-18 °C readings very low. The elevated probability assigned to 27 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger downslope warming, though current observations and short-range guidance favor the mid-20s range. Updated model runs overnight and early on September 3 will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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