Current forecast consensus from regional models and meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul of 20–22°C on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 21°C based on the latest runs, aligning closely with the market's strongest implied probability at 22°C. Warmer-than-climatological conditions (historical early-September lows average ~17°C) reflect the ongoing stable pattern with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Model spread remains modest but allows for minor revisions before resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or wind speeds shift overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 2 septembre ?
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
20°C 98%
19°C 78%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
16°C or below
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
13%
19°C
78%
20°C
98%
21°C
78%
22°C
62%
23°C
100%
24°C
78%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
9%
23°C 100%
25°C 100%
20°C 98%
19°C 78%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
8%
17°C
$57 Vol.
13%
18°C
$69 Vol.
13%
19°C
$0 Vol.
78%
20°C
$0 Vol.
98%
21°C
$0 Vol.
78%
22°C
$0 Vol.
62%
23°C
$0 Vol.
100%
24°C
$4 Vol.
78%
25°C
$5 Vol.
100%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models and meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul of 20–22°C on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 21°C based on the latest runs, aligning closely with the market's strongest implied probability at 22°C. Warmer-than-climatological conditions (historical early-September lows average ~17°C) reflect the ongoing stable pattern with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Model spread remains modest but allows for minor revisions before resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or wind speeds shift overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$145Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models and meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul of 20–22°C on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 21°C based on the latest runs, aligning closely with the market's strongest implied probability at 22°C. Warmer-than-climatological conditions (historical early-September lows average ~17°C) reflect the ongoing stable pattern with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Model spread remains modest but allows for minor revisions before resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or wind speeds shift overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$145Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from regional models and meteorological agencies points to a minimum temperature in Istanbul of 20–22°C on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent northeasterly flow under high pressure, clear to mostly clear skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows are expected near 21°C based on the latest runs, aligning closely with the market's strongest implied probability at 22°C. Warmer-than-climatological conditions (historical early-September lows average ~17°C) reflect the ongoing stable pattern with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover to enhance radiative cooling. Model spread remains modest but allows for minor revisions before resolution, particularly if boundary-layer mixing or wind speeds shift overnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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