**Market-implied odds for Jeddah’s September 22 overnight low show near parity between the 35°C+ extreme (48.5%) and 25°C-or-below (48.0%), with mid-range values like 31°C (27.5%) also attracting interest.** This split reflects model consensus for a typical Red Sea coastal minimum near 28–30°C under stable high pressure, light variable winds, and clear to mostly clear skies. Jeddah’s marine influence—high humidity (often 70–85% at night) and proximity to warm sea-surface temperatures—normally limits diurnal cooling to 5–8°C from daytime highs around 34–36°C. Recent observations confirm no synoptic shifts, such as stronger northerly flow or increased cloud cover, that would push the low notably higher or lower. Forecasters note small uncertainties in exact radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, which keep the extremes competitive until updated model runs or observations narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Djeddah le 22 septembre ?
35°C ou plus 97%
25°C ou moins 96%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C ou moins
96%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C ou plus
97%
35°C ou plus 97%
25°C ou moins 96%
31°C 50%
30°C 40%
25°C ou moins
96%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
37%
30°C
40%
31°C
28%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C ou plus
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds for Jeddah’s September 22 overnight low show near parity between the 35°C+ extreme (48.5%) and 25°C-or-below (48.0%), with mid-range values like 31°C (27.5%) also attracting interest.** This split reflects model consensus for a typical Red Sea coastal minimum near 28–30°C under stable high pressure, light variable winds, and clear to mostly clear skies. Jeddah’s marine influence—high humidity (often 70–85% at night) and proximity to warm sea-surface temperatures—normally limits diurnal cooling to 5–8°C from daytime highs around 34–36°C. Recent observations confirm no synoptic shifts, such as stronger northerly flow or increased cloud cover, that would push the low notably higher or lower. Forecasters note small uncertainties in exact radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, which keep the extremes competitive until updated model runs or observations narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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