Recent official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate clear skies and light northeast winds overnight, promoting strong radiative cooling that supports minimum temperatures of 15–19 °C, well below typical early-September averages. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations showing dew points near 12–14 °C and no significant warm advection, underpins the market’s 99.5 % implied probability for a low of 12 °C or below. Only a rapid increase in cloud cover or unexpected southerly flow before dawn could realistically push readings above that threshold, outcomes assigned negligible probability by traders given current atmospheric conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Jinan le 3 septembre ?
12°C ou moins 99.5%
17°C 1.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
12°C ou moins
100%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
12°C ou moins 99.5%
17°C 1.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
12°C ou moins
100%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 2, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and global models indicate clear skies and light northeast winds overnight, promoting strong radiative cooling that supports minimum temperatures of 15–19 °C, well below typical early-September averages. This consensus, reinforced by real-time observations showing dew points near 12–14 °C and no significant warm advection, underpins the market’s 99.5 % implied probability for a low of 12 °C or below. Only a rapid increase in cloud cover or unexpected southerly flow before dawn could realistically push readings above that threshold, outcomes assigned negligible probability by traders given current atmospheric conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour

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