The recorded overnight minimum of 17°C in London on May 25 aligned precisely with official Met Office observations from central stations, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to 100% while rendering all other thresholds negligible. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and the urban heat island effect prevented temperatures from dropping further despite typical May variability. Traders incorporated the latest model guidance and real-time station data showing no sub-17°C readings. Minor resolution risk remains only if final verified reports from alternate sites or post-processing adjustments revise the figure, though historical consistency in London’s temperature network makes such shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 25 mai ?
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$20,166 Vol.
$20,166 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$20,166 Vol.
$20,166 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The recorded overnight minimum of 17°C in London on May 25 aligned precisely with official Met Office observations from central stations, driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome to 100% while rendering all other thresholds negligible. Mild southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover overnight, and the urban heat island effect prevented temperatures from dropping further despite typical May variability. Traders incorporated the latest model guidance and real-time station data showing no sub-17°C readings. Minor resolution risk remains only if final verified reports from alternate sites or post-processing adjustments revise the figure, though historical consistency in London’s temperature network makes such shifts unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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