Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF show high pressure building over the UK, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s overnight into September 5. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 10–11°C limiting moisture retention and supporting minimums of 13–14°C. Trader consensus splits closely between these levels due to minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages for London lows near 12–14°C provide context, while the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection keeps downside risk to 12°C or below limited. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 5 septembre ?
14°C 45%
13°C 40%
15°C 13%
12°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
40%
14°C
45%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
1%
14°C 45%
13°C 40%
15°C 13%
12°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$227 Vol.
4%
12°C
$58 Vol.
5%
13°C
$290 Vol.
40%
14°C
$321 Vol.
45%
15°C
$102 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$14 Vol.
1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
1%
19°C
$14 Vol.
1%
20°C ou plus
$14 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF show high pressure building over the UK, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s overnight into September 5. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 10–11°C limiting moisture retention and supporting minimums of 13–14°C. Trader consensus splits closely between these levels due to minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages for London lows near 12–14°C provide context, while the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection keeps downside risk to 12°C or below limited. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,059Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF show high pressure building over the UK, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s overnight into September 5. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 10–11°C limiting moisture retention and supporting minimums of 13–14°C. Trader consensus splits closely between these levels due to minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages for London lows near 12–14°C provide context, while the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection keeps downside risk to 12°C or below limited. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,059Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF show high pressure building over the UK, promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds of 2–4 m/s overnight into September 5. These conditions favor strong radiational cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C, with dew points around 10–11°C limiting moisture retention and supporting minimums of 13–14°C. Trader consensus splits closely between these levels due to minor model differences in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shift the low by 1°C. Historical September averages for London lows near 12–14°C provide context, while the absence of fronts or significant moisture advection keeps downside risk to 12°C or below limited. Updated model runs and official observations will refine the exact threshold before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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