Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus highlight persistent southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 22, creating uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates that drives the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes. High humidity near 90% combined with variable cloud cover after evening showers can either enhance radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it under overcast conditions, compressing or expanding the typical 5–7°C diurnal range observed in September climatology. Light winds and scattered rain timing remain the key variables, with official minimum temperature reports from Manila stations expected to resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Manille le 22 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Manille le 22 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 95%
31°C ou plus 95%
27°C 45%
25°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
95%
22°C
13%
23°C
37%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
28%
28°C
37%
29°C
17%
30°C
14%
31°C ou plus
95%
21°C ou moins 95%
31°C ou plus 95%
27°C 45%
25°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
95%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$0 Vol.
37%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
40%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$43 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
14%
31°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus highlight persistent southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 22, creating uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates that drives the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes. High humidity near 90% combined with variable cloud cover after evening showers can either enhance radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it under overcast conditions, compressing or expanding the typical 5–7°C diurnal range observed in September climatology. Light winds and scattered rain timing remain the key variables, with official minimum temperature reports from Manila stations expected to resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$43Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus highlight persistent southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 22, creating uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates that drives the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes. High humidity near 90% combined with variable cloud cover after evening showers can either enhance radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it under overcast conditions, compressing or expanding the typical 5–7°C diurnal range observed in September climatology. Light winds and scattered rain timing remain the key variables, with official minimum temperature reports from Manila stations expected to resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA guidance and model consensus highlight persistent southwest monsoon influences and localized thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 22, creating uncertainty in nocturnal cooling rates that drives the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C+ outcomes. High humidity near 90% combined with variable cloud cover after evening showers can either enhance radiative cooling under clearer skies or limit it under overcast conditions, compressing or expanding the typical 5–7°C diurnal range observed in September climatology. Light winds and scattered rain timing remain the key variables, with official minimum temperature reports from Manila stations expected to resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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