Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show high uncertainty for Paris nighttime lows on August 23, with trader sentiment clustering around 11–13°C due to variable steering patterns and potential for clear skies enabling radiative cooling. Key factors include the position of Atlantic high-pressure ridges versus incoming troughs that could bring cloud cover or light winds, plus local urban heat island effects and August climatological baselines near 14°C. Shifts in ensemble runs over the next 48 hours, including humidity levels and wind direction, will determine whether cooler advection drops readings toward 10°C or milder conditions push them to 14–15°C, keeping the broad distribution reflective of unresolved model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 23 août ?
12°C 37%
13°C 35%
11°C 17%
10°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
8°C ou moins
5%
9°C
5%
10°C
10%
11°C
17%
12°C
37%
13°C
35%
14°C
10%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C ou plus
1%
12°C 37%
13°C 35%
11°C 17%
10°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
8°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
5%
9°C
$0 Vol.
5%
10°C
$0 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$5 Vol.
35%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16°C
$5 Vol.
7%
17°C
$5 Vol.
5%
18°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show high uncertainty for Paris nighttime lows on August 23, with trader sentiment clustering around 11–13°C due to variable steering patterns and potential for clear skies enabling radiative cooling. Key factors include the position of Atlantic high-pressure ridges versus incoming troughs that could bring cloud cover or light winds, plus local urban heat island effects and August climatological baselines near 14°C. Shifts in ensemble runs over the next 48 hours, including humidity levels and wind direction, will determine whether cooler advection drops readings toward 10°C or milder conditions push them to 14–15°C, keeping the broad distribution reflective of unresolved model spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$25Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show high uncertainty for Paris nighttime lows on August 23, with trader sentiment clustering around 11–13°C due to variable steering patterns and potential for clear skies enabling radiative cooling. Key factors include the position of Atlantic high-pressure ridges versus incoming troughs that could bring cloud cover or light winds, plus local urban heat island effects and August climatological baselines near 14°C. Shifts in ensemble runs over the next 48 hours, including humidity levels and wind direction, will determine whether cooler advection drops readings toward 10°C or milder conditions push them to 14–15°C, keeping the broad distribution reflective of unresolved model spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and ECMWF show high uncertainty for Paris nighttime lows on August 23, with trader sentiment clustering around 11–13°C due to variable steering patterns and potential for clear skies enabling radiative cooling. Key factors include the position of Atlantic high-pressure ridges versus incoming troughs that could bring cloud cover or light winds, plus local urban heat island effects and August climatological baselines near 14°C. Shifts in ensemble runs over the next 48 hours, including humidity levels and wind direction, will determine whether cooler advection drops readings toward 10°C or milder conditions push them to 14–15°C, keeping the broad distribution reflective of unresolved model spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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