Persistent marine layer influence from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keeps San Francisco overnight minima tightly clustered around the 54–59°F range, with forecasts from NWS and private models converging on mid-50s lows under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest onshore flow. Minor variations in stratus thinning timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed could easily shift the official SFO minimum by 2–3°F, sustaining near-even implied probabilities across the four leading bins. Historical August 30 lows average 56°F, and current observations show temperatures holding near 56–58°F early on the 30th, leaving resolution dependent on final hourly NOAA readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à San Francisco le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à San Francisco le 30 août ?
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 27%
58-59°F 27%
52-53 °F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
47°F ou moins
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51 °F
7%
52-53 °F
26%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F ou plus
<1%
56-57°F 27%
54-55°F 27%
58-59°F 27%
52-53 °F 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
47°F ou moins
$284 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$45 Vol.
<1%
50-51 °F
$76 Vol.
7%
52-53 °F
$0 Vol.
26%
54-55°F
$115 Vol.
27%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
27%
60-61°F
$239 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$97 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$97 Vol.
<1%
66°F ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keeps San Francisco overnight minima tightly clustered around the 54–59°F range, with forecasts from NWS and private models converging on mid-50s lows under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest onshore flow. Minor variations in stratus thinning timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed could easily shift the official SFO minimum by 2–3°F, sustaining near-even implied probabilities across the four leading bins. Historical August 30 lows average 56°F, and current observations show temperatures holding near 56–58°F early on the 30th, leaving resolution dependent on final hourly NOAA readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$997Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keeps San Francisco overnight minima tightly clustered around the 54–59°F range, with forecasts from NWS and private models converging on mid-50s lows under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest onshore flow. Minor variations in stratus thinning timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed could easily shift the official SFO minimum by 2–3°F, sustaining near-even implied probabilities across the four leading bins. Historical August 30 lows average 56°F, and current observations show temperatures holding near 56–58°F early on the 30th, leaving resolution dependent on final hourly NOAA readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$997Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence from the cool California Current and coastal upwelling keeps San Francisco overnight minima tightly clustered around the 54–59°F range, with forecasts from NWS and private models converging on mid-50s lows under partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest onshore flow. Minor variations in stratus thinning timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind speed could easily shift the official SFO minimum by 2–3°F, sustaining near-even implied probabilities across the four leading bins. Historical August 30 lows average 56°F, and current observations show temperatures holding near 56–58°F early on the 30th, leaving resolution dependent on final hourly NOAA readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57°F le 29 août ?
100%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57 °F le 31 août ?
34%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 68 et 69°F le 30 août ?
44%
Oui
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