Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 13°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by confirmed morning observations from the official Xujiahui observatory registering exactly 13°C around dawn, with daytime readings holding steady above 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers. This positioning reflects tight alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance, GFS, and ECMWF model ensembles, which projected minima of 12–14°C under stable southerly flows and urban heat island effects mitigating radiative cooling—consistent with Shanghai's April climatological average low of 11–13°C but elevated by recent warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include an improbable pre-midnight cold surge if skies unexpectedly clear, though current infrared satellite imagery shows sustained overcast conditions; final daily summary from CMA observations will confirm resolution shortly after local midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 28 avril ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 28 avril ?
13°C 100.0%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,042 Vol.
$17,042 Vol.
28 avr. 2026
7°C ou moins
Non
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Oui
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C ou plus
Non
13°C 100.0%
7°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$17,042 Vol.
$17,042 Vol.
28 avr. 2026
7°C ou moins
$489 Vol.
Non
8°C
$712 Vol.
Non
9°C
$676 Vol.
Non
10°C
$1,137 Vol.
Non
11°C
$1,607 Vol.
Non
12°C
$2,972 Vol.
Non
13°C
$1,637 Vol.
Oui
14°C
$916 Vol.
Non
15°C
$2,082 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,375 Vol.
Non
17°C ou plus
$3,440 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 13°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by confirmed morning observations from the official Xujiahui observatory registering exactly 13°C around dawn, with daytime readings holding steady above 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers. This positioning reflects tight alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance, GFS, and ECMWF model ensembles, which projected minima of 12–14°C under stable southerly flows and urban heat island effects mitigating radiative cooling—consistent with Shanghai's April climatological average low of 11–13°C but elevated by recent warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include an improbable pre-midnight cold surge if skies unexpectedly clear, though current infrared satellite imagery shows sustained overcast conditions; final daily summary from CMA observations will confirm resolution shortly after local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$17,042Date de fin
28 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 13°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by confirmed morning observations from the official Xujiahui observatory registering exactly 13°C around dawn, with daytime readings holding steady above 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers. This positioning reflects tight alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance, GFS, and ECMWF model ensembles, which projected minima of 12–14°C under stable southerly flows and urban heat island effects mitigating radiative cooling—consistent with Shanghai's April climatological average low of 11–13°C but elevated by recent warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include an improbable pre-midnight cold surge if skies unexpectedly clear, though current infrared satellite imagery shows sustained overcast conditions; final daily summary from CMA observations will confirm resolution shortly after local midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,042Date de fin
28 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 13°C in Shanghai on April 28, driven by confirmed morning observations from the official Xujiahui observatory registering exactly 13°C around dawn, with daytime readings holding steady above 14°C amid persistent cloud cover and light showers. This positioning reflects tight alignment across China Meteorological Administration guidance, GFS, and ECMWF model ensembles, which projected minima of 12–14°C under stable southerly flows and urban heat island effects mitigating radiative cooling—consistent with Shanghai's April climatological average low of 11–13°C but elevated by recent warmer anomalies. Realistic challenges include an improbable pre-midnight cold surge if skies unexpectedly clear, though current infrared satellite imagery shows sustained overcast conditions; final daily summary from CMA observations will confirm resolution shortly after local midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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