Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai's overnight low on September 22 stabilizing near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 70–80%, which limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 23°C or 24°C reflects tight ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction, where minor variations in cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1°C. Shanghai's coastal location and urban heat island further moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for sub-22°C or above-25°C outcomes low amid stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 22 septembre ?
24°C 50%
23°C 40%
22°C 9%
21°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
40%
24°C
50%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C ou plus
1%
24°C 50%
23°C 40%
22°C 9%
21°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$65 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$70 Vol.
1%
21°C
$48 Vol.
7%
22°C
$391 Vol.
9%
23°C
$491 Vol.
40%
24°C
$705 Vol.
50%
25°C
$18 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai's overnight low on September 22 stabilizing near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 70–80%, which limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 23°C or 24°C reflects tight ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction, where minor variations in cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1°C. Shanghai's coastal location and urban heat island further moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for sub-22°C or above-25°C outcomes low amid stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,868Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai's overnight low on September 22 stabilizing near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 70–80%, which limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 23°C or 24°C reflects tight ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction, where minor variations in cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1°C. Shanghai's coastal location and urban heat island further moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for sub-22°C or above-25°C outcomes low amid stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,868Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses show Shanghai's overnight low on September 22 stabilizing near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity around 70–80%, which limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 23°C or 24°C reflects tight ensemble spreads in numerical weather prediction, where minor variations in cloud thickness or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1°C. Shanghai's coastal location and urban heat island further moderate extremes, keeping probabilities for sub-22°C or above-25°C outcomes low amid stable synoptic patterns. Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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