Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary will deliver widespread rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 17, moderating temperatures after warmer southerly flow on the 16th. This setup creates tight uncertainty in the daily minimum, as enhanced mixing from westerly winds and latent heat release from precipitation can limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow greater heat loss. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of the front and boundary-layer moisture, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between cooler outcomes near or below 10°C and milder readings above 15°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 17 septembre ?
7°C ou moins 72%
17°C ou plus 72%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
72%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
21%
11°C
28%
12°C
24%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C ou plus
72%
7°C ou moins 72%
17°C ou plus 72%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
7°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
72%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
28%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary will deliver widespread rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 17, moderating temperatures after warmer southerly flow on the 16th. This setup creates tight uncertainty in the daily minimum, as enhanced mixing from westerly winds and latent heat release from precipitation can limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow greater heat loss. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of the front and boundary-layer moisture, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between cooler outcomes near or below 10°C and milder readings above 15°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary will deliver widespread rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 17, moderating temperatures after warmer southerly flow on the 16th. This setup creates tight uncertainty in the daily minimum, as enhanced mixing from westerly winds and latent heat release from precipitation can limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow greater heat loss. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of the front and boundary-layer moisture, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between cooler outcomes near or below 10°C and milder readings above 15°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS indicates a low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary will deliver widespread rain and increased cloud cover to Warsaw on September 17, moderating temperatures after warmer southerly flow on the 16th. This setup creates tight uncertainty in the daily minimum, as enhanced mixing from westerly winds and latent heat release from precipitation can limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while any breaks in cloud cover could allow greater heat loss. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of the front and boundary-layer moisture, keeping market-implied odds nearly even between cooler outcomes near or below 10°C and milder readings above 15°C. Updated short-range guidance from national meteorological services will likely refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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