Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Wuhan driven by northerly cold air advection and widespread rain on September 17, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 17–20 °C. This positions the market’s near-even split between 24 °C+ (46 %) and 14 °C or below (45 %) as a reflection of remaining model spread on the exact strength of the cold surge and the degree of cloud cover that will limit radiative cooling. Ensemble runs show modest disagreement in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which directly control how far temperatures fall after sunset. Historical mid-September lows average around 20 °C, so the current setup represents a notable but not extreme departure. Final station readings from the Wuhan meteorological network tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 17 septembre ?
24°C ou plus 92%
14°C ou moins 90%
17°C 39%
21°C 39%
14°C ou moins
90%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
39%
18°C
21%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
16%
24°C ou plus
92%
24°C ou plus 92%
14°C ou moins 90%
17°C 39%
21°C 39%
14°C ou moins
90%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
39%
18°C
21%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
16%
24°C ou plus
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a sharp cooldown in Wuhan driven by northerly cold air advection and widespread rain on September 17, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 17–20 °C. This positions the market’s near-even split between 24 °C+ (46 %) and 14 °C or below (45 %) as a reflection of remaining model spread on the exact strength of the cold surge and the degree of cloud cover that will limit radiative cooling. Ensemble runs show modest disagreement in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, which directly control how far temperatures fall after sunset. Historical mid-September lows average around 20 °C, so the current setup represents a notable but not extreme departure. Final station readings from the Wuhan meteorological network tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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