Current short-range forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a nighttime low in Wuhan on September 2 near 21–23 °C, driven by northerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This positions the market-implied odds for 21–22 °C outcomes near 45 % while the 17 °C-or-below bucket at 47.5 % captures tail risk from stronger precipitation or model spread. Historical September minima average around 24 °C, but the current pattern of post-summer cooling and moisture advection narrows the likely range and keeps higher thresholds (27 °C+) at lower probability. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 2 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 2 septembre ?
17°C or below 95%
27°C or higher 69%
18°C 66%
21°C 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
17°C or below
95%
18°C
66%
19°C
10%
20°C
44%
21°C
46%
22°C
46%
23°C
46%
24°C
46%
25°C
46%
26°C
45%
27°C or higher
69%
17°C or below 95%
27°C or higher 69%
18°C 66%
21°C 46%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 sept. 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
18°C
$5 Vol.
66%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
44%
21°C
$0 Vol.
46%
22°C
$0 Vol.
46%
23°C
$0 Vol.
46%
24°C
$0 Vol.
46%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$4 Vol.
45%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a nighttime low in Wuhan on September 2 near 21–23 °C, driven by northerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This positions the market-implied odds for 21–22 °C outcomes near 45 % while the 17 °C-or-below bucket at 47.5 % captures tail risk from stronger precipitation or model spread. Historical September minima average around 24 °C, but the current pattern of post-summer cooling and moisture advection narrows the likely range and keeps higher thresholds (27 °C+) at lower probability. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a nighttime low in Wuhan on September 2 near 21–23 °C, driven by northerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This positions the market-implied odds for 21–22 °C outcomes near 45 % while the 17 °C-or-below bucket at 47.5 % captures tail risk from stronger precipitation or model spread. Historical September minima average around 24 °C, but the current pattern of post-summer cooling and moisture advection narrows the likely range and keeps higher thresholds (27 °C+) at lower probability. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19Date de fin
2 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from models such as those used by the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a nighttime low in Wuhan on September 2 near 21–23 °C, driven by northerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiational cooling. This positions the market-implied odds for 21–22 °C outcomes near 45 % while the 17 °C-or-below bucket at 47.5 % captures tail risk from stronger precipitation or model spread. Historical September minima average around 24 °C, but the current pattern of post-summer cooling and moisture advection narrows the likely range and keeps higher thresholds (27 °C+) at lower probability. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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