Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 3, 2026, New Jersey Senate race after winning his primary unopposed while Murphy secured the GOP nomination with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented June 2 contest. New Jersey’s voter registration advantage for Democrats, combined with the state’s consistent preference for Democratic Senate candidates since 1972, underpins the market’s strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited name recognition and fundraising for the Republican nominee, absent major shifts in national conditions or unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, reinforce trader positioning around this outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$18,374 Vol.
$18,374 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
4%
$18,374 Vol.
$18,374 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Democrat
$9,167 Vol.
94%
Republican
$9,207 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 3, 2026, New Jersey Senate race after winning his primary unopposed while Murphy secured the GOP nomination with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented June 2 contest. New Jersey’s voter registration advantage for Democrats, combined with the state’s consistent preference for Democratic Senate candidates since 1972, underpins the market’s strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited name recognition and fundraising for the Republican nominee, absent major shifts in national conditions or unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, reinforce trader positioning around this outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$18,374Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 3, 2026, New Jersey Senate race after winning his primary unopposed while Murphy secured the GOP nomination with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented June 2 contest. New Jersey’s voter registration advantage for Democrats, combined with the state’s consistent preference for Democratic Senate candidates since 1972, underpins the market’s strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited name recognition and fundraising for the Republican nominee, absent major shifts in national conditions or unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, reinforce trader positioning around this outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,374Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Cory Booker faces Republican Justin Murphy in the November 3, 2026, New Jersey Senate race after winning his primary unopposed while Murphy secured the GOP nomination with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented June 2 contest. New Jersey’s voter registration advantage for Democrats, combined with the state’s consistent preference for Democratic Senate candidates since 1972, underpins the market’s strong consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Limited name recognition and fundraising for the Republican nominee, absent major shifts in national conditions or unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, reinforce trader positioning around this outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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