Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic lean in federal contests, Booker's unopposed primary and established record since 2013, and the absence of general election polling showing meaningful competitiveness. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with New Jersey's voting patterns and the Republican Party's lack of Senate success there since 1972. The June Republican primary, which Murphy won with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented field, has not shifted the fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly tilted states, though outcomes could still shift in response to late-breaking national conditions, candidate health developments, or major scandals before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,464 Vol.
$20,464 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
97%
Républicain
3%
$20,464 Vol.
$20,464 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$10,770 Vol.
97%
Républicain
$9,694 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic lean in federal contests, Booker's unopposed primary and established record since 2013, and the absence of general election polling showing meaningful competitiveness. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with New Jersey's voting patterns and the Republican Party's lack of Senate success there since 1972. The June Republican primary, which Murphy won with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented field, has not shifted the fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly tilted states, though outcomes could still shift in response to late-breaking national conditions, candidate health developments, or major scandals before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$20,464Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic lean in federal contests, Booker's unopposed primary and established record since 2013, and the absence of general election polling showing meaningful competitiveness. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with New Jersey's voting patterns and the Republican Party's lack of Senate success there since 1972. The June Republican primary, which Murphy won with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented field, has not shifted the fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly tilted states, though outcomes could still shift in response to late-breaking national conditions, candidate health developments, or major scandals before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$20,464Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Cory Booker holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race against Republican nominee Justin Murphy, reflecting the state's longstanding Democratic lean in federal contests, Booker's unopposed primary and established record since 2013, and the absence of general election polling showing meaningful competitiveness. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote, consistent with New Jersey's voting patterns and the Republican Party's lack of Senate success there since 1972. The June Republican primary, which Murphy won with roughly one-third of the vote in a fragmented field, has not shifted the fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly tilted states, though outcomes could still shift in response to late-breaking national conditions, candidate health developments, or major scandals before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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