Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons seeks a fourth term in Delaware's Class II Senate seat, where the state's consistent Democratic lean—evidenced by its D+8 partisan voting index and support for the party's presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles—anchors trader expectations. Republicans have not captured this seat since 1994, and no competitive challengers have emerged ahead of the September 15 primary or November 3 general election. The 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and Coons' established record. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or extraordinary disruption, such as a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears on the horizon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$15,954 Vol.
$15,954 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
96%
Républicain
5%
$15,954 Vol.
$15,954 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$10,609 Vol.
96%
Républicain
$5,346 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons seeks a fourth term in Delaware's Class II Senate seat, where the state's consistent Democratic lean—evidenced by its D+8 partisan voting index and support for the party's presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles—anchors trader expectations. Republicans have not captured this seat since 1994, and no competitive challengers have emerged ahead of the September 15 primary or November 3 general election. The 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and Coons' established record. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or extraordinary disruption, such as a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$15,954Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons seeks a fourth term in Delaware's Class II Senate seat, where the state's consistent Democratic lean—evidenced by its D+8 partisan voting index and support for the party's presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles—anchors trader expectations. Republicans have not captured this seat since 1994, and no competitive challengers have emerged ahead of the September 15 primary or November 3 general election. The 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and Coons' established record. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or extraordinary disruption, such as a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears on the horizon.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Delaware U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,954Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Chris Coons seeks a fourth term in Delaware's Class II Senate seat, where the state's consistent Democratic lean—evidenced by its D+8 partisan voting index and support for the party's presidential nominee by double digits in recent cycles—anchors trader expectations. Republicans have not captured this seat since 1994, and no competitive challengers have emerged ahead of the September 15 primary or November 3 general election. The 95.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner reflects this structural advantage and Coons' established record. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented statewide shift or extraordinary disruption, such as a late candidate withdrawal or major scandal, neither of which appears on the horizon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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