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icon for Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises

icon for Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises

Parti national écossais 100.0%

Conservateurs écossais <1%

Libéraux-démocrates écossais <1%

Parti Alba <1%

Polymarket

$1,883,660 Vol.

Parti national écossais 100.0%

Conservateurs écossais <1%

Libéraux-démocrates écossais <1%

Parti Alba <1%

Polymarket

$1,883,660 Vol.

Parti national écossais

$1,372,314 Vol.

Oui

Conservateurs écossais

$29,628 Vol.

Non

Libéraux-démocrates écossais

$131,303 Vol.

Non

Parti Alba

$40,951 Vol.

Non

Parti travailliste écossais

$78,322 Vol.

Non

Parti vert écossais

$65,726 Vol.

Non

Reform UK

$131,736 Vol.

Non

Parti de la Souveraineté

$33,680 Vol.

Non

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).The Scottish Parliament election on 7 May 2026 delivered a fifth consecutive victory for the Scottish National Party as the largest party, securing 57 seats with nearly all 129 declared, well ahead of Scottish Labour and Reform UK tied around 17 seats each, amid surges for the Scottish Greens and Liberal Democrats. SNP leader John Swinney declared victory as counts finalized over 8–9 May, reflecting trader consensus on the party's enduring dominance in proportional representation despite seat losses from 2021 and no overall majority threshold of 65. While remaining Highlands and Islands regional list seats pose negligible risk, potential recounts or legal disputes could theoretically challenge the outcome, though official tallies cement SNP's commanding position.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Volume
$1,883,660
Date de fin
7 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).The Scottish Parliament election on 7 May 2026 delivered a fifth consecutive victory for the Scottish National Party as the largest party, securing 57 seats with nearly all 129 declared, well ahead of Scottish Labour and Reform UK tied around 17 seats each, amid surges for the Scottish Greens and Liberal Democrats. SNP leader John Swinney declared victory as counts finalized over 8–9 May, reflecting trader consensus on the party's enduring dominance in proportional representation despite seat losses from 2021 and no overall majority threshold of 65. While remaining Highlands and Islands regional list seats pose negligible risk, potential recounts or legal disputes could theoretically challenge the outcome, though official tallies cement SNP's commanding position.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election. If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Volume
$1,883,660
Date de fin
7 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Connexes

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Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?

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Oui
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Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

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1%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Parti national écossais » à 100%, suivi de « Conservateurs écossais » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises » a généré $1.9 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 12, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises » est « Parti national écossais » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Conservateurs écossais » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections parlementaires écossaises » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.