Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourArrêt/liquidation de Spirit Airlines d'ici le 31 mai ?
Arrêt/liquidation de Spirit Airlines d'ici le 31 mai ?
Oui
$212,192 Vol.
$212,192 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Oui
$212,192 Vol.
$212,192 Vol.
31 mai 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$212,192Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$212,192Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes