Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates in third near 17 percent. This consistent ranking across multiple surveys has anchored trader consensus on the Moderates finishing third, as the current Tidö Agreement coalition partners continue to trail the opposition Red-Greens bloc. Limited movement in recent months has kept alternative scenarios, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third, at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming final campaign weeks and any late shifts in voter turnout or bloc consolidation could still influence the exact order.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 1.5%
Liberals (L) <1%
$22,868 Vol.
$22,868 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
16%
Moderate Party (M)
81%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
2%
Liberals (L)
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 16%
Green Party (MP) 1.5%
Liberals (L) <1%
$22,868 Vol.
$22,868 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$1,318 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$3,706 Vol.
16%
Moderate Party (M)
$9,061 Vol.
81%
Centre Party (C)
$1,397 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$1,210 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$1,192 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$2,061 Vol.
2%
Liberals (L)
$1,423 Vol.
1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,499 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates in third near 17 percent. This consistent ranking across multiple surveys has anchored trader consensus on the Moderates finishing third, as the current Tidö Agreement coalition partners continue to trail the opposition Red-Greens bloc. Limited movement in recent months has kept alternative scenarios, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third, at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming final campaign weeks and any late shifts in voter turnout or bloc consolidation could still influence the exact order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Marché ouvert : May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$22,868Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates in third near 17 percent. This consistent ranking across multiple surveys has anchored trader consensus on the Moderates finishing third, as the current Tidö Agreement coalition partners continue to trail the opposition Red-Greens bloc. Limited movement in recent months has kept alternative scenarios, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third, at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming final campaign weeks and any late shifts in voter turnout or bloc consolidation could still influence the exact order.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$22,868Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden's September 13, 2026, parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 32 percent, with the Sweden Democrats holding second place around 20 percent and the Moderates in third near 17 percent. This consistent ranking across multiple surveys has anchored trader consensus on the Moderates finishing third, as the current Tidö Agreement coalition partners continue to trail the opposition Red-Greens bloc. Limited movement in recent months has kept alternative scenarios, such as a Sweden Democrats surge into third, at lower implied probabilities. Upcoming final campaign weeks and any late shifts in voter turnout or bloc consolidation could still influence the exact order.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
83%
Le Parti social-démocrate suédois (S) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?
98%
Oui
Les partis de Tidö obtiendront-ils une majorité aux élections parlementaires suédoises de 2026 ?
10%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes