Trader consensus favors Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win the Venice mayoral election, reflecting recent polls like Tecné's showing him ahead amid unified centre-right coalition support from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, UDC, and civic lists. As outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's successor and current assessor for tourism and social cohesion, Venturini benefits from incumbency continuity on overtourism, housing shortages, and Mestre security concerns. Andrea Martella trails at 37.5% with a broad centre-left alliance including PD, M5S, and +Europa, emphasizing suburban revitalization and safety plans launched in early April. Centrist Michele Boldrin and others lag due to narrower appeal. The first round on May 24-25 could yield a Venturini outright victory or runoff on June 7-8.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVenice Mayoral Election Winner
Venice Mayoral Election Winner
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
Simone Venturini 54%
Andrea Martella 38%
Michele Boldrin 3.4%
Pierangelo Del Zotto <1%

Simone Venturini
54%

Andrea Martella
38%

Michele Boldrin
3%

Pierangelo Del Zotto
<1%

Giovanni Andrea Martini
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Venice as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Venice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Simone Venturini at 53.5% implied probability to win the Venice mayoral election, reflecting recent polls like Tecné's showing him ahead amid unified centre-right coalition support from Fratelli d'Italia, Lega, Forza Italia, UDC, and civic lists. As outgoing mayor Luigi Brugnaro's successor and current assessor for tourism and social cohesion, Venturini benefits from incumbency continuity on overtourism, housing shortages, and Mestre security concerns. Andrea Martella trails at 37.5% with a broad centre-left alliance including PD, M5S, and +Europa, emphasizing suburban revitalization and safety plans launched in early April. Centrist Michele Boldrin and others lag due to narrower appeal. The first round on May 24-25 could yield a Venturini outright victory or runoff on June 7-8.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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