President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump va-t-il déclarer la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Trump va-t-il déclarer la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$1,166,132 Vol.
31 mars 2026
28 février
Non
31 mars
Non
30 avril
Non
$1,166,132 Vol.
28 février
$327,021 Vol.
Non
31 mars
$225,076 Vol.
Non
30 avril
$614,036 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$1,166,132Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."
General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.
Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.
The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,166,132Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 24, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
President Trump rejected Iran's latest proposal to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without resolving Tehran's nuclear program, heightening tensions amid a fragile ceasefire that began in early April following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes and a naval blockade. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faced intense Senate and House questioning this week on the conflict's costs, Pentagon budget, and compliance with the War Powers Resolution, as the 60-day clock for congressional authorization approaches its May 1 deadline. Trump, briefed today by CENTCOM on fresh military options, stated only he knows the status of secretive talks, leaving open the possibility of restarting operations while trader consensus reflects uncertainty over escalation amid surging oil prices and Iranian threats against U.S. assets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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