In Alabama's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus favors State Rep. Rhett Marques at 42% implied probability over former Rep. Jerry Carl at 30%, reflecting Marques' momentum amid a fragmented field and 42-50% undecided voters in recent polls. A March Alabama Poll showed Carl's lead narrowing to 8 points (28%-19%), with Marques gaining nearly 80% of shifting undecideds, boosted by Sen. Katie Britt's endorsement and superior fundraising ($775,000 cash-on-hand vs. Carl's $308,000). An early April PI Poll (Carl 23%-19% Marques, 50% undecided) underscores the toss-up, as traders bet on Marques consolidating support in this safe Republican seat potentially headed to a June 16 runoff. Yesterday's candidate forum highlighted contrasts on issues like border security and economic policy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारेट मार्क्वेस 55%
जेरी कार्ल 43%
जोशुआ मैकी 7.9%
ऑस्टिन सिडवेल 6.1%
$38,519 वॉल्यूम
$38,519 वॉल्यूम
रेट मार्क्वेस
45%
जेरी कार्ल
43%
जोशुआ मैकी
8%
ऑस्टिन सिडवेल
6%
जेम्स रिचर्डसन
5%
जॉन मिल्स
2%
जेम्स डीस
1%
रेट मार्क्वेस 55%
जेरी कार्ल 43%
जोशुआ मैकी 7.9%
ऑस्टिन सिडवेल 6.1%
$38,519 वॉल्यूम
$38,519 वॉल्यूम
रेट मार्क्वेस
45%
जेरी कार्ल
43%
जोशुआ मैकी
8%
ऑस्टिन सिडवेल
6%
जेम्स रिचर्डसन
5%
जॉन मिल्स
2%
जेम्स डीस
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Alabama's open 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus favors State Rep. Rhett Marques at 42% implied probability over former Rep. Jerry Carl at 30%, reflecting Marques' momentum amid a fragmented field and 42-50% undecided voters in recent polls. A March Alabama Poll showed Carl's lead narrowing to 8 points (28%-19%), with Marques gaining nearly 80% of shifting undecideds, boosted by Sen. Katie Britt's endorsement and superior fundraising ($775,000 cash-on-hand vs. Carl's $308,000). An early April PI Poll (Carl 23%-19% Marques, 50% undecided) underscores the toss-up, as traders bet on Marques consolidating support in this safe Republican seat potentially headed to a June 16 runoff. Yesterday's candidate forum highlighted contrasts on issues like border security and economic policy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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