Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट 91%
आर्मेनिया एलायंस 6%
हेरिटेज 1.9%
आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस 1.7%
$104,391 वॉल्यूम
$104,391 वॉल्यूम

सिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट
91%

आर्मेनिया एलायंस
6%

हेरिटेज
2%

आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस
2%

समृद्ध आर्मेनिया
2%

हनरापेटुत्युन पार्टी
1%

ओरिनात्स येरकिर
1%

आई हैव ऑनर एलायंस
<1%

ब्राइट आर्मेनिया
<1%
सिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट 91%
आर्मेनिया एलायंस 6%
हेरिटेज 1.9%
आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस 1.7%
$104,391 वॉल्यूम
$104,391 वॉल्यूम

सिविल कॉन्ट्रैक्ट
91%

आर्मेनिया एलायंस
6%

हेरिटेज
2%

आर्मीनियाई नेशनल कांग्रेस
2%

समृद्ध आर्मेनिया
2%

हनरापेटुत्युन पार्टी
1%

ओरिनात्स येरकिर
1%

आई हैव ऑनर एलायंस
<1%

ब्राइट आर्मेनिया
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न