Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of both the House and Senate after the November 2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic congressional ballot averaging 3-5 points in April polls from sources like DDHQ and NYT trackers. President Trump's approval ratings linger in the high 30s to low 40s amid surging fuel prices, inflation concerns, and escalation in the Iran conflict, amplifying historical midterm losses for the incumbent party, as seen in 2018. Recent special election wins for Democrats, including NJ-11 and strong showings in GA-14 with a 25-point swing, plus a record 36+ GOP House retirements, have opened vulnerable seats in battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries and economic data could shift dynamics, though current pricing embeds significant barriers to Republican retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$34,201 वॉल्यूम
$34,201 वॉल्यूम
30 नव, 2026
हाँ
$34,201 वॉल्यूम
$34,201 वॉल्यूम
30 नव, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of both the House and Senate after the November 2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic congressional ballot averaging 3-5 points in April polls from sources like DDHQ and NYT trackers. President Trump's approval ratings linger in the high 30s to low 40s amid surging fuel prices, inflation concerns, and escalation in the Iran conflict, amplifying historical midterm losses for the incumbent party, as seen in 2018. Recent special election wins for Democrats, including NJ-11 and strong showings in GA-14 with a 25-point swing, plus a record 36+ GOP House retirements, have opened vulnerable seats in battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries and economic data could shift dynamics, though current pricing embeds significant barriers to Republican retention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$34,201समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of both the House and Senate after the November 2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic congressional ballot averaging 3-5 points in April polls from sources like DDHQ and NYT trackers. President Trump's approval ratings linger in the high 30s to low 40s amid surging fuel prices, inflation concerns, and escalation in the Iran conflict, amplifying historical midterm losses for the incumbent party, as seen in 2018. Recent special election wins for Democrats, including NJ-11 and strong showings in GA-14 with a 25-point swing, plus a record 36+ GOP House retirements, have opened vulnerable seats in battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries and economic data could shift dynamics, though current pricing embeds significant barriers to Republican retention.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
वॉल्यूम
$34,201समाप्ति तिथि
30 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a blue wave—Democrats gaining control of both the House and Senate after the November 2026 midterms—at 84.5%, driven by persistent Democratic leads on the generic congressional ballot averaging 3-5 points in April polls from sources like DDHQ and NYT trackers. President Trump's approval ratings linger in the high 30s to low 40s amid surging fuel prices, inflation concerns, and escalation in the Iran conflict, amplifying historical midterm losses for the incumbent party, as seen in 2018. Recent special election wins for Democrats, including NJ-11 and strong showings in GA-14 with a 25-point swing, plus a record 36+ GOP House retirements, have opened vulnerable seats in battlegrounds. Upcoming primaries and economic data could shift dynamics, though current pricing embeds significant barriers to Republican retention.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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