Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाBulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner
PB 97.6%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,710 वॉल्यूम
$201,710 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
PB
98%
GERB–SDS
1%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-United Left
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 97.6%
GERB–SDS 1.3%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$201,710 वॉल्यूम
$201,710 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
PB
$73,664 वॉल्यूम
98%
GERB–SDS
$29,232 वॉल्यूम
1%
PP–DB
$27,743 वॉल्यूम
1%
DPS
$4,252 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ITN
$11,889 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Velichie
$15,738 वॉल्यूम
<1%
APS
$11,608 वॉल्यूम
<1%
BSP-United Left
$7,898 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MECH
$10,144 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$9,543 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$201,710समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
वॉल्यूम
$201,710समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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