China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5%, set during the March Two Sessions Government Work Report, anchors trader consensus at 65.5% odds for 4.0–5.0%, reflecting fiscal stimulus measures like a 4% budget deficit and property sector support amid ongoing real estate weakness. Q1 2026 GDP expanded 5.0% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 4.8%—bolstering 30.3% odds for 5.0–6.0% via robust exports and industrial rebound, though the IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook cut its forecast to 4.4% citing trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Low probabilities for extremes stem from structural drags like deflation and debt, with upcoming Q2 data key to shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.0–5.0% 66%
5.0–6.0% 35.6%
<1.0% 1.4%
6.0-7.0% 1.3%
$256,113 वॉल्यूम
$256,113 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
1%
1.0–2.0%
1%
2.0–3.0%
1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
66%
5.0–6.0%
30%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
<1%
4.0–5.0% 66%
5.0–6.0% 35.6%
<1.0% 1.4%
6.0-7.0% 1.3%
$256,113 वॉल्यूम
$256,113 वॉल्यूम
31 जन, 2026
<1.0%
$22,840 वॉल्यूम
1%
1.0–2.0%
$27,369 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.0–3.0%
$6,614 वॉल्यूम
1%
3.0–4.0%
$10,429 वॉल्यूम
1%
4.0–5.0%
$41,696 वॉल्यूम
66%
5.0–6.0%
$21,910 वॉल्यूम
30%
6.0-7.0%
$19,570 वॉल्यूम
1%
7.0–8.0%
$29,766 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$6,927 वॉल्यूम
1%
9.0%+
$68,994 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5%, set during the March Two Sessions Government Work Report, anchors trader consensus at 65.5% odds for 4.0–5.0%, reflecting fiscal stimulus measures like a 4% budget deficit and property sector support amid ongoing real estate weakness. Q1 2026 GDP expanded 5.0% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 4.8%—bolstering 30.3% odds for 5.0–6.0% via robust exports and industrial rebound, though the IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook cut its forecast to 4.4% citing trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Low probabilities for extremes stem from structural drags like deflation and debt, with upcoming Q2 data key to shifts.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$256,113समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5%, set during the March Two Sessions Government Work Report, anchors trader consensus at 65.5% odds for 4.0–5.0%, reflecting fiscal stimulus measures like a 4% budget deficit and property sector support amid ongoing real estate weakness. Q1 2026 GDP expanded 5.0% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 4.8%—bolstering 30.3% odds for 5.0–6.0% via robust exports and industrial rebound, though the IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook cut its forecast to 4.4% citing trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Low probabilities for extremes stem from structural drags like deflation and debt, with upcoming Q2 data key to shifts.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$256,113समाप्ति तिथि
31 जन, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5–5%, set during the March Two Sessions Government Work Report, anchors trader consensus at 65.5% odds for 4.0–5.0%, reflecting fiscal stimulus measures like a 4% budget deficit and property sector support amid ongoing real estate weakness. Q1 2026 GDP expanded 5.0% year-over-year—beating forecasts of 4.8%—bolstering 30.3% odds for 5.0–6.0% via robust exports and industrial rebound, though the IMF's April 14 World Economic Outlook cut its forecast to 4.4% citing trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Low probabilities for extremes stem from structural drags like deflation and debt, with upcoming Q2 data key to shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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