Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth exceeding 2.5%, driven by blockbuster March exports surging 48% year-over-year to a record $86 billion—led by semiconductors topping $30 billion for the first time—alongside factory activity expanding at the fastest pace in over four years per PMI data and February industrial production jumping 5.4% month-on-month. These leading indicators signal a robust quarter-over-quarter rebound, outpacing full-year forecasts around 1.9–2.0% from IMF and Bank of Korea, with 37% odds on 2.0–2.4%. Advance GDP data releases April 23 could catalyze shifts amid elevated oil risks from Middle East tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSouth Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026?
2.5%+ 56%
2.0–2.4% 37%
1.0–1.4% 2.1%
0.5–0.9% 1.9%
$17,550 वॉल्यूम
$17,550 वॉल्यूम
23 अप्रैल, 2026
<0%
1%
0.0–0.4%
1%
0.5–0.9%
2%
1.0–1.4%
2%
1.5–1.9%
1%
2.0–2.4%
37%
2.5%+
56%
2.5%+ 56%
2.0–2.4% 37%
1.0–1.4% 2.1%
0.5–0.9% 1.9%
$17,550 वॉल्यूम
$17,550 वॉल्यूम
23 अप्रैल, 2026
<0%
$1,945 वॉल्यूम
1%
0.0–0.4%
$5,838 वॉल्यूम
1%
0.5–0.9%
$541 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.0–1.4%
$755 वॉल्यूम
2%
1.5–1.9%
$1,051 वॉल्यूम
1%
2.0–2.4%
$655 वॉल्यूम
37%
2.5%+
$6,764 वॉल्यूम
56%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth exceeding 2.5%, driven by blockbuster March exports surging 48% year-over-year to a record $86 billion—led by semiconductors topping $30 billion for the first time—alongside factory activity expanding at the fastest pace in over four years per PMI data and February industrial production jumping 5.4% month-on-month. These leading indicators signal a robust quarter-over-quarter rebound, outpacing full-year forecasts around 1.9–2.0% from IMF and Bank of Korea, with 37% odds on 2.0–2.4%. Advance GDP data releases April 23 could catalyze shifts amid elevated oil risks from Middle East tensions.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,550समाप्ति तिथि
23 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth exceeding 2.5%, driven by blockbuster March exports surging 48% year-over-year to a record $86 billion—led by semiconductors topping $30 billion for the first time—alongside factory activity expanding at the fastest pace in over four years per PMI data and February industrial production jumping 5.4% month-on-month. These leading indicators signal a robust quarter-over-quarter rebound, outpacing full-year forecasts around 1.9–2.0% from IMF and Bank of Korea, with 37% odds on 2.0–2.4%. Advance GDP data releases April 23 could catalyze shifts amid elevated oil risks from Middle East tensions.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in the first quarter of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for the first quarter of 2026, scheduled for release on April 23, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
वॉल्यूम
$17,550समाप्ति तिथि
23 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 56% implied probability for South Korea's Q1 2026 GDP growth exceeding 2.5%, driven by blockbuster March exports surging 48% year-over-year to a record $86 billion—led by semiconductors topping $30 billion for the first time—alongside factory activity expanding at the fastest pace in over four years per PMI data and February industrial production jumping 5.4% month-on-month. These leading indicators signal a robust quarter-over-quarter rebound, outpacing full-year forecasts around 1.9–2.0% from IMF and Bank of Korea, with 37% odds on 2.0–2.4%. Advance GDP data releases April 23 could catalyze shifts amid elevated oil risks from Middle East tensions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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