Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, with SAWS outlooks and ECMWF/GFS ensembles converging on 16–18°C amid an approaching cold front currently 100 km west-southwest of the city. This system promises increased cloud cover, southerly winds moderating daytime heating, and cooler air masses overriding typical autumn highs near 22°C, differentiating the leaders: earlier frontal landfall favors 16°C (25% implied probability) via enhanced cloud suppression of insolation, while delayed timing or bergwind influences could push toward 18°C (20.5%). Model spread highlights disagreement on exact timing and cloud opacity; watch SAWS updates and 12Z runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
17°C 29%
16°C 28%
18°C 20%
15°C 15%
14°C or below
12%
15°C
15%
16°C
28%
17°C
29%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 29%
16°C 28%
18°C 20%
15°C 15%
14°C or below
12%
15°C
15%
16°C
28%
17°C
29%
18°C
20%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Cape Town International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, with SAWS outlooks and ECMWF/GFS ensembles converging on 16–18°C amid an approaching cold front currently 100 km west-southwest of the city. This system promises increased cloud cover, southerly winds moderating daytime heating, and cooler air masses overriding typical autumn highs near 22°C, differentiating the leaders: earlier frontal landfall favors 16°C (25% implied probability) via enhanced cloud suppression of insolation, while delayed timing or bergwind influences could push toward 18°C (20.5%). Model spread highlights disagreement on exact timing and cloud opacity; watch SAWS updates and 12Z runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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