Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (60.5% implied probability) in Miami on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and convergence across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a peak near 84°F. This reflects typical mid-April climatological normals of 84°F, bolstered by a subtropical ridge aloft fostering seasonal warmth amid moderating Atlantic sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs in the low 80s over the past week, with no anomalous upper-air patterns signaling extremes like heat domes or frontal passages. Model spread remains tight, though urban heat island effects or slight timing shifts in peak solar heating could nudge outcomes toward adjacent bins; watch NWS morning forecast discussion for final refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अप्रैल को मियामी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अप्रैल को मियामी में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
84-85°F 61%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 8%
80-81°F 3.6%
$26,800 वॉल्यूम
$26,800 वॉल्यूम
71°F या उससे कम
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
61%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F या अधिक
1%
84-85°F 61%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 8%
80-81°F 3.6%
$26,800 वॉल्यूम
$26,800 वॉल्यूम
71°F या उससे कम
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
61%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F या अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (60.5% implied probability) in Miami on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and convergence across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting a peak near 84°F. This reflects typical mid-April climatological normals of 84°F, bolstered by a subtropical ridge aloft fostering seasonal warmth amid moderating Atlantic sea breezes that cap afternoon peaks. Recent observations show highs in the low 80s over the past week, with no anomalous upper-air patterns signaling extremes like heat domes or frontal passages. Model spread remains tight, though urban heat island effects or slight timing shifts in peak solar heating could nudge outcomes toward adjacent bins; watch NWS morning forecast discussion for final refinements.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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