Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature near 78°F at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution station—for April 17, driving trader consensus toward the 78-79°F (32.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (24.5%) outcomes amid a potent upper-level ridge ushering well-above-normal warmth well into the 70s. Differentiating factors include GFS runs trending 1-2°F warmer than ECMWF due to stronger subsidence and sunnier skies, versus risks of afternoon marine stratus or cumulus clouds capping peaks lower; historical April analogs show similar setups yielding 77-82°F variability at KLGA. Key upcoming data: 12Z/18Z model updates and morning soundings today will clarify boundary layer mixing and sea breeze timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अप्रैल को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
17 अप्रैल को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
77°F या उससे कम 22%
82-83°F 12%
$23,758 वॉल्यूम
$23,758 वॉल्यूम
77°F या उससे कम
22%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
77°F या उससे कम 22%
82-83°F 12%
$23,758 वॉल्यूम
$23,758 वॉल्यूम
77°F या उससे कम
22%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models project a high temperature near 78°F at LaGuardia Airport—the market's resolution station—for April 17, driving trader consensus toward the 78-79°F (32.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (24.5%) outcomes amid a potent upper-level ridge ushering well-above-normal warmth well into the 70s. Differentiating factors include GFS runs trending 1-2°F warmer than ECMWF due to stronger subsidence and sunnier skies, versus risks of afternoon marine stratus or cumulus clouds capping peaks lower; historical April analogs show similar setups yielding 77-82°F variability at KLGA. Key upcoming data: 12Z/18Z model updates and morning soundings today will clarify boundary layer mixing and sea breeze timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न