Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 29°C edging out 30°C at 29.5%, amid a strengthening subtropical ridge fostering warm advection and subsidence that suppresses clouds for much of the day. Differentiating factors include potential early thunderstorms or sea breeze incursions from the South China Sea, which could cap peaks at 28°C (21.5% odds) via evaporative cooling, versus prolonged sunshine amplifying urban heat island effects toward 30°C or slightly higher. April climatology averages 27°C highs with 2–3°C daily variability from convective showers; final resolution awaits China Meteorological Administration station data, with intraday observations key amid model spread of 1°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 34%
30°C 30%
28°C 22%
31°C 4.9%
$19,777 वॉल्यूम
$19,777 वॉल्यूम
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
34%
30°C
30%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 34%
30°C 30%
28°C 22%
31°C 4.9%
$19,777 वॉल्यूम
$19,777 वॉल्यूम
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
22%
29°C
34%
30°C
30%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, project a high near 29°C in Shenzhen on April 17, reflecting trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 29°C edging out 30°C at 29.5%, amid a strengthening subtropical ridge fostering warm advection and subsidence that suppresses clouds for much of the day. Differentiating factors include potential early thunderstorms or sea breeze incursions from the South China Sea, which could cap peaks at 28°C (21.5% odds) via evaporative cooling, versus prolonged sunshine amplifying urban heat island effects toward 30°C or slightly higher. April climatology averages 27°C highs with 2–3°C daily variability from convective showers; final resolution awaits China Meteorological Administration station data, with intraday observations key amid model spread of 1°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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