Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 140–169 (32.5%) and 170–199 (34.0%) tornadoes for April, mirroring the 1991–2020 NOAA average of 182 confirmed events while accounting for an active early-month pace driven by Storm Prediction Center-documented outbreaks on April 2 across the Midwest and April 13–14 in the Plains, yielding dozens of confirmed tornadoes amid high CAPE and wind shear favoring supercells. With roughly half the month elapsed and preliminary counts nearing historical mid-month norms, the narrow lead reflects model consensus for moderate ongoing risks—Enhanced to Moderate outlooks through late April—but uncertainty in discrete storm modes versus squall lines, jet stream positioning, and final survey confirmations (typically validating 65–70% of reports). Key updates from SPC Day 3–8 convective outlooks and NCEI monthly reports will sharpen resolution trajectories.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअप्रैल में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर आए?
अप्रैल में अमेरिका में कितने बवंडर आए?
170–199 34%
140–169 28%
290–319 16%
200–229 11%
$38,439 वॉल्यूम
$38,439 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
<140
8%
140–169
30%
170–199
34%
200–229
11%
230–259
5%
260–289
20%
290–319
13%
३२०–३५०
19%
350+
6%
170–199 34%
140–169 28%
290–319 16%
200–229 11%
$38,439 वॉल्यूम
$38,439 वॉल्यूम
10 मई, 2026
<140
$8,916 वॉल्यूम
8%
140–169
$6,632 वॉल्यूम
30%
170–199
$427 वॉल्यूम
34%
200–229
$95 वॉल्यूम
11%
230–259
$92 वॉल्यूम
5%
260–289
$128 वॉल्यूम
20%
290–319
$258 वॉल्यूम
13%
३२०–३५०
$154 वॉल्यूम
19%
350+
$21,736 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 140–169 (32.5%) and 170–199 (34.0%) tornadoes for April, mirroring the 1991–2020 NOAA average of 182 confirmed events while accounting for an active early-month pace driven by Storm Prediction Center-documented outbreaks on April 2 across the Midwest and April 13–14 in the Plains, yielding dozens of confirmed tornadoes amid high CAPE and wind shear favoring supercells. With roughly half the month elapsed and preliminary counts nearing historical mid-month norms, the narrow lead reflects model consensus for moderate ongoing risks—Enhanced to Moderate outlooks through late April—but uncertainty in discrete storm modes versus squall lines, jet stream positioning, and final survey confirmations (typically validating 65–70% of reports). Key updates from SPC Day 3–8 convective outlooks and NCEI monthly reports will sharpen resolution trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,439समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 140–169 (32.5%) and 170–199 (34.0%) tornadoes for April, mirroring the 1991–2020 NOAA average of 182 confirmed events while accounting for an active early-month pace driven by Storm Prediction Center-documented outbreaks on April 2 across the Midwest and April 13–14 in the Plains, yielding dozens of confirmed tornadoes amid high CAPE and wind shear favoring supercells. With roughly half the month elapsed and preliminary counts nearing historical mid-month norms, the narrow lead reflects model consensus for moderate ongoing risks—Enhanced to Moderate outlooks through late April—but uncertainty in discrete storm modes versus squall lines, jet stream positioning, and final survey confirmations (typically validating 65–70% of reports). Key updates from SPC Day 3–8 convective outlooks and NCEI monthly reports will sharpen resolution trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on May 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
वॉल्यूम
$38,439समाप्ति तिथि
10 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 140–169 (32.5%) and 170–199 (34.0%) tornadoes for April, mirroring the 1991–2020 NOAA average of 182 confirmed events while accounting for an active early-month pace driven by Storm Prediction Center-documented outbreaks on April 2 across the Midwest and April 13–14 in the Plains, yielding dozens of confirmed tornadoes amid high CAPE and wind shear favoring supercells. With roughly half the month elapsed and preliminary counts nearing historical mid-month norms, the narrow lead reflects model consensus for moderate ongoing risks—Enhanced to Moderate outlooks through late April—but uncertainty in discrete storm modes versus squall lines, jet stream positioning, and final survey confirmations (typically validating 65–70% of reports). Key updates from SPC Day 3–8 convective outlooks and NCEI monthly reports will sharpen resolution trajectories.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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