Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured over 40% against 10 challengers amid strong fundraising including $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, has solidified trader consensus behind the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability. The district's D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its deep blue history, stretching from Chicago's South Side to rural areas, making it a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report despite the open seat left by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid. Low-profile Republican truck driver Mike Noack poses little threat absent a major scandal, health issue for Miller, or unprecedented national Republican wave before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIL -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
IL -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$21,128 वॉल्यूम
$21,128 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$21,128 वॉल्यूम
$21,128 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$8,143 वॉल्यूम
93%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$12,985 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured over 40% against 10 challengers amid strong fundraising including $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, has solidified trader consensus behind the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability. The district's D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its deep blue history, stretching from Chicago's South Side to rural areas, making it a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report despite the open seat left by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid. Low-profile Republican truck driver Mike Noack poses little threat absent a major scandal, health issue for Miller, or unprecedented national Republican wave before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,128समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured over 40% against 10 challengers amid strong fundraising including $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, has solidified trader consensus behind the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability. The district's D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its deep blue history, stretching from Chicago's South Side to rural areas, making it a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report despite the open seat left by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid. Low-profile Republican truck driver Mike Noack poses little threat absent a major scandal, health issue for Miller, or unprecedented national Republican wave before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,128समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller's victory in the March 17 Democratic primary for Illinois' 2nd Congressional District, where she secured over 40% against 10 challengers amid strong fundraising including $4.4 million from pro-Israel groups, has solidified trader consensus behind the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability. The district's D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index underscores its deep blue history, stretching from Chicago's South Side to rural areas, making it a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report despite the open seat left by Rep. Robin Kelly's Senate bid. Low-profile Republican truck driver Mike Noack poses little threat absent a major scandal, health issue for Miller, or unprecedented national Republican wave before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न