SpaceX's market-implied odds heavily favor a June IPO at 64.5%, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and subsequent reports of an early June roadshow targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. This aligns with the standard 8-12 week timeline from filing through SEC review, roadshow, and pricing, positioning June as trader consensus amid strong operational momentum like yesterday's Super Heavy V3 static fire. July at 19.1% reflects minor delay risks from regulatory hurdles or market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% prices low given the accelerated pathway; upcoming public filing and roadshow details will be pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजून 65%
जुलाई 19.1%
2027 से पहले कोई IPO नहीं 6.6%
अगस्त 4.1%
$230,256 वॉल्यूम
$230,256 वॉल्यूम
अप्रैल
1%
मई
3%
जून
65%
जुलाई
19%
अगस्त
4%
सितंबर
3%
अक्टूबर
1%
नवंबर
1%
दिसंबर
1%
2027 से पहले कोई IPO नहीं
7%
जून 65%
जुलाई 19.1%
2027 से पहले कोई IPO नहीं 6.6%
अगस्त 4.1%
$230,256 वॉल्यूम
$230,256 वॉल्यूम
अप्रैल
1%
मई
3%
जून
65%
जुलाई
19%
अगस्त
4%
सितंबर
3%
अक्टूबर
1%
नवंबर
1%
दिसंबर
1%
2027 से पहले कोई IPO नहीं
7%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's market-implied odds heavily favor a June IPO at 64.5%, driven by the company's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1, 2026, and subsequent reports of an early June roadshow targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. This aligns with the standard 8-12 week timeline from filing through SEC review, roadshow, and pricing, positioning June as trader consensus amid strong operational momentum like yesterday's Super Heavy V3 static fire. July at 19.1% reflects minor delay risks from regulatory hurdles or market conditions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6.6% prices low given the accelerated pathway; upcoming public filing and roadshow details will be pivotal catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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