Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for Madison Air Solutions' IPO closing market cap exceeding $13.5 billion, reflecting robust demand that drove yesterday's pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range for 82.7 million shares, implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion—the largest U.S. industrial IPO in nearly three decades. Strong institutional interest from over 300 investors, fueled by the company's revenue surge disclosed in its March S-1 filing and tailwinds from data center cooling demand amid AI infrastructure buildout, positions the 13.0B–13.5B and 12.5B–13.0B buckets as close contenders at 28.6% and 23.0%, respectively. NYSE debut under ticker MAIR occurs today, April 16, with settlement expected April 17; any first-day trading pop could elevate shares above IPO levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13.5B+ 49%
13.0B–13.5B 28.6%
12.5B–13.0B 23%
12.0B–12.5B 1.5%
$14,533 वॉल्यूम
$14,533 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
<12.0B
1%
12.0B–12.5B
2%
12.5B–13.0B
23%
13.0B–13.5B
29%
13.5B+
49%
No IPO before June 2026
<1%
13.5B+ 49%
13.0B–13.5B 28.6%
12.5B–13.0B 23%
12.0B–12.5B 1.5%
$14,533 वॉल्यूम
$14,533 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
<12.0B
$1,686 वॉल्यूम
1%
12.0B–12.5B
$1,064 वॉल्यूम
2%
12.5B–13.0B
$1,067 वॉल्यूम
23%
13.0B–13.5B
$2,925 वॉल्यूम
29%
13.5B+
$4,839 वॉल्यूम
49%
No IPO before June 2026
$2,951 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for Madison Air Solutions' IPO closing market cap exceeding $13.5 billion, reflecting robust demand that drove yesterday's pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range for 82.7 million shares, implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion—the largest U.S. industrial IPO in nearly three decades. Strong institutional interest from over 300 investors, fueled by the company's revenue surge disclosed in its March S-1 filing and tailwinds from data center cooling demand amid AI infrastructure buildout, positions the 13.0B–13.5B and 12.5B–13.0B buckets as close contenders at 28.6% and 23.0%, respectively. NYSE debut under ticker MAIR occurs today, April 16, with settlement expected April 17; any first-day trading pop could elevate shares above IPO levels.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,533समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for Madison Air Solutions' IPO closing market cap exceeding $13.5 billion, reflecting robust demand that drove yesterday's pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range for 82.7 million shares, implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion—the largest U.S. industrial IPO in nearly three decades. Strong institutional interest from over 300 investors, fueled by the company's revenue surge disclosed in its March S-1 filing and tailwinds from data center cooling demand amid AI infrastructure buildout, positions the 13.0B–13.5B and 12.5B–13.0B buckets as close contenders at 28.6% and 23.0%, respectively. NYSE debut under ticker MAIR occurs today, April 16, with settlement expected April 17; any first-day trading pop could elevate shares above IPO levels.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$14,533समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 49% implied probability for Madison Air Solutions' IPO closing market cap exceeding $13.5 billion, reflecting robust demand that drove yesterday's pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range for 82.7 million shares, implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion—the largest U.S. industrial IPO in nearly three decades. Strong institutional interest from over 300 investors, fueled by the company's revenue surge disclosed in its March S-1 filing and tailwinds from data center cooling demand amid AI infrastructure buildout, positions the 13.0B–13.5B and 12.5B–13.0B buckets as close contenders at 28.6% and 23.0%, respectively. NYSE debut under ticker MAIR occurs today, April 16, with settlement expected April 17; any first-day trading pop could elevate shares above IPO levels.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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