Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir at 83.5% implied probability for April 10–17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Ayatollah Khamenei's martyrdom in early 2026, when it shifted to infrequent archival statements amid Iran's leadership transition and regional tensions. As of April 16, only one post has appeared in the window—a April 13 repost of a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus (pbuh)—following two Easter-related entries on April 5 outside the period. Prior weeks averaged 1–2 posts every few days, with no new activity since April 13 despite ongoing US-Iran frictions, positioning 5–9 posts next at 14% as a low-upside scenario before market resolution on April 17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKhamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 10 - April 17, 2026?
<5 85%
5-9 10%
20-24 5.5%
10-14 2.0%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
<5
89%
5-9
10%
10-14
7%
15-19
8%
20-24
5%
25-29
1%
30-34
2%
35-39
<1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
<1%
60+
1%
<5 85%
5-9 10%
20-24 5.5%
10-14 2.0%
नया
नया
17 अप्रैल, 2026
<5
$1,013 वॉल्यूम
89%
5-9
$163 वॉल्यूम
10%
10-14
$241 वॉल्यूम
7%
15-19
$388 वॉल्यूम
8%
20-24
$277 वॉल्यूम
5%
25-29
$456 वॉल्यूम
1%
30-34
$570 वॉल्यूम
2%
35-39
$563 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-44
$770 वॉल्यूम
1%
45-49
$675 वॉल्यूम
1%
50-54
$841 वॉल्यूम
1%
55-59
$648 वॉल्यूम
<1%
60+
$1,190 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir at 83.5% implied probability for April 10–17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Ayatollah Khamenei's martyrdom in early 2026, when it shifted to infrequent archival statements amid Iran's leadership transition and regional tensions. As of April 16, only one post has appeared in the window—a April 13 repost of a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus (pbuh)—following two Easter-related entries on April 5 outside the period. Prior weeks averaged 1–2 posts every few days, with no new activity since April 13 despite ongoing US-Iran frictions, positioning 5–9 posts next at 14% as a low-upside scenario before market resolution on April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,790समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir at 83.5% implied probability for April 10–17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Ayatollah Khamenei's martyrdom in early 2026, when it shifted to infrequent archival statements amid Iran's leadership transition and regional tensions. As of April 16, only one post has appeared in the window—a April 13 repost of a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus (pbuh)—following two Easter-related entries on April 5 outside the period. Prior weeks averaged 1–2 posts every few days, with no new activity since April 13 despite ongoing US-Iran frictions, positioning 5–9 posts next at 14% as a low-upside scenario before market resolution on April 17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$7,790समाप्ति तिथि
17 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices fewer than 5 posts from @khamenei_ir at 83.5% implied probability for April 10–17, reflecting the account's sparse activity since Ayatollah Khamenei's martyrdom in early 2026, when it shifted to infrequent archival statements amid Iran's leadership transition and regional tensions. As of April 16, only one post has appeared in the window—a April 13 repost of a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus (pbuh)—following two Easter-related entries on April 5 outside the period. Prior weeks averaged 1–2 posts every few days, with no new activity since April 13 despite ongoing US-Iran frictions, positioning 5–9 posts next at 14% as a low-upside scenario before market resolution on April 17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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